Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 14/07, 11:00
Prediction: Filiberto Fumagalli vs Lorenzo Balducci
Prediction summary
Winner
Filiberto Fumagalli
Lorenzo Balducci
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Filiberto Fumagalli
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Balducci
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filiberto Fumagalli 1540 · Lorenzo Balducci 1499
| Filiberto Fumagalli | Lorenzo Balducci | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filiberto Fumagalli (rating 1540 vs 1499).
- Note: Lorenzo Balducci makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Filiberto Fumagalli | Lorenzo Balducci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-8.4 | 10.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filiberto Fumagalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Mickael Kaouk M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Seydina Andre M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Mathis Bondaz M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 14/06 | Ryan Ndualu M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Lorenzo Balducci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Antoni Kasperski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Jakub Solarski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Sep De Visser M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Lucas Hammond M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Jacopo Borsoi M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 17/03 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/02 | Nicolas Parizzia M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filiberto Fumagalli vs Lorenzo Balducci?
Our model gives 59% to Filiberto Fumagalli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.