Tennis · Challenger Granby · 14/07, 19:00

Prediction: Blaise Bicknell vs Kenta Miyoshi

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Blaise Bicknell Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Blaise Bicknell 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWWWLLL
Kenta Miyoshi 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blaise Bicknell 1450 · Kenta Miyoshi 1588
Blaise BicknellKenta Miyoshi
Our model31%69%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Miyoshi (rating 1450 vs 1588).
  • Kenta Miyoshi dominates on serve: 6 aces and 44.5% break avg.
  • Kenta Miyoshi is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Blaise BicknellKenta Miyoshi
Win %30%80%
Win % · Hard 29% (7) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.7-0.6
Games (G-P)11.6-13.112.8-10.1
Aces3.26
Double faults1.71.6
1st serve %66.5%72.9%
Break %31.3%44.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blaise Bicknell

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Timo Legout
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/06 Karl Poling
Challenger Tyler · Hard
0-2 10-14 L
03/06 Johannus Monday
Challenger Tyler · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
25/05 Bernard Tomic
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
08/05 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
1-2 10-15 L
06/05 Aditya Vishal Balsekar
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
30/04 Hamish Stewart
Challenger Abidjan · Hard
1-2 18-18 L
23/04 Yanki Erel
Challenger Abidjan · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
22/04 Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
Challenger Abidjan · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
07/04 Tristan Schoolkate
Challenger Mexico City · Clay
0-2 10-14 L

Kenta Miyoshi

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Karl Poling
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-1 19-18 W
12/07 Bruno Kuzuhara
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
12/07 Keegan Rice
M25 Laval
2-1 15-13 W
11/07 Timo Legout
M25 Laval
2-0 13-10 W
11/07 Karl Poling
M25 Laval
2-0 12-7 W
09/07 Justin Boulais
M25 Laval
2-0 13-6 W
07/07 Stephane Pierre-Jo Kamendje
M25 Laval
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Vignesh Gogineni
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Nav Dayal
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
20/06 Bryce Nakashima
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blaise Bicknell vs Kenta Miyoshi?

Our model gives 62% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.