Tennis · Challenger Granby · 14/07, 17:30
Prediction: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Aidan Mayo
Prediction summary
Winner
Guillaume Dalmasso
Aidan Mayo
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Guillaume Dalmasso
5-5 (W-L)
Aidan Mayo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guillaume Dalmasso 1602 · Aidan Mayo 1490
| Guillaume Dalmasso | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guillaume Dalmasso (rating 1602 vs 1490).
- Guillaume Dalmasso dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 52.2% break avg.
- Guillaume Dalmasso is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Guillaume Dalmasso makes many double faults (6.9/match).
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Guillaume Dalmasso | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11 | 14.3-13.3 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 80.2% | 73% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 29% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guillaume Dalmasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/07 | Volodymyr Gurenko Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Valentin Lapalu M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Filip Peliwo M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Tom Zeuch M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Sten Hiiesalu M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Braden Shick Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/05 | Johannus Monday Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/05 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/04 | Andy Andrade Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/04 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/04 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guillaume Dalmasso vs Aidan Mayo?
Our model gives 58% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.