Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 14/07, 17:00
Prediction: Jie Cui vs Thomas Fancutt
Prediction summary
Winner
Jie Cui
Thomas Fancutt
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Jie Cui
6-4 (W-L)
Thomas Fancutt
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jie Cui 1476 · Thomas Fancutt 1526
| Jie Cui | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thomas Fancutt (rating 1476 vs 1526).
Statistics
| Jie Cui | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.5 | 11.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Jacome Jaramillo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/05 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Shixun Zhu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Jesse Delaney M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/05 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/06 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Volodymyr Uzhylovskyi Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Lucas Poullain M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Francisco Faria M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jie Cui vs Thomas Fancutt?
Our model gives 57% to Jie Cui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.