Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 14/07, 18:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Bu Yunchaokete
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Bu Yunchaokete
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
6-4 (W-L)
Bu Yunchaokete
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1547 · Bu Yunchaokete 1592
| Evan Zhu | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bu Yunchaokete (rating 1547 vs 1592).
- Bu Yunchaokete dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 43.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.1 | 12.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 39% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Yassine Dlimi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Landon Ardila M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Kennedy M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Bu Yunchaokete
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Hugo Dellien Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Arthur Fery Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Bu Yunchaokete?
Our model gives 74% to Bu Yunchaokete, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.