Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Matteo Fondriest vs Jan Hrazdil
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Fondriest
Jan Hrazdil
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Fondriest
5-5 (W-L)
Jan Hrazdil
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matteo Fondriest
0–1
Jan Hrazdil
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Fondriest 1477 · Jan Hrazdil 1437
| Matteo Fondriest | Jan Hrazdil | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matteo Fondriest (rating 1477 vs 1437).
- Head-to-head: Matteo Fondriest 0–1 Jan Hrazdil (1).
Statistics
| Matteo Fondriest | Jan Hrazdil | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11 | 8.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 30.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Matteo Fondriest 0 – 1 Jan Hrazdil (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matteo Fondriest 0–1 Jan Hrazdil
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/25 M25 Trento | 1-2 | 10-10 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Fondriest
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Dennis Andre Dutine M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Ben Stecker M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexander Weis M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 19/04 | Jean Paul Kadangah Kili Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Loann Massard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/04 | Nick Beamish M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/03 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Jan Hrazdil
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Niklas Guttau M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Tudor Batin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Rudolf Molleker M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/06 | Martin Doskocil M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Piotr Galus M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Luca Staeheli M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Cosimo Banti M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Filip Cristian Jianu M25 Louny · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Henry Lieberman M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Fondriest vs Jan Hrazdil?
Our model gives 52% to Jan Hrazdil, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.