Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Matic Hribar vs Adam Jilly
Prediction summary
Winner
Matic Hribar
Adam Jilly
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matic Hribar
3-7 (W-L)
Adam Jilly
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matic Hribar 1476 · Adam Jilly 1504
| Matic Hribar | Adam Jilly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matic Hribar makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Adam Jilly makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Matic Hribar | Adam Jilly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.6 | 10.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 46% | 33.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matic Hribar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Cyrus Mahjoob UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Andreas Loizas UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Vid Mohar UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Gabriel Alejandro Hidalgo UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Matic Dimic UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Niklas Waldner M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Gregor Hausberger M15 Store |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Alp Horoz M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Luca Castagnola M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Adam Jilly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Store |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Melvin Kumar M15 Store |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Vlad Cristian Breazu UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Charlie Swaine UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Norbert Marosik UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Botond Kisantal UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | John Sperle M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Aron Janos Major M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matic Hribar vs Adam Jilly?
Our model gives 70% to Adam Jilly, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.