Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 15/07, 10:30
Prediction: Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Tabur
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Rinderknech
Clement Tabur
Estimated games
27.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Rinderknech
6-4 (W-L)
Clement Tabur
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Rinderknech 1496 · Clement Tabur 1540
| Arthur Rinderknech | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clement Tabur (rating 1496 vs 1540).
Statistics
| Arthur Rinderknech | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 43% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.5 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.3-16.1 | 13.7-12.7 |
| Aces | 16.1 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 80.8% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 22.7% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +5
Over 22.5: 81% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 19% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Rinderknech
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
| 01/07 | Martin Damm Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-23 | W |
| 16/06 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Stan Wawrinka Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Corentin Moutet Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Jurij Rodionov French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Alexander Bublik ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Clement Tabur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Hendrik Jebens ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-22 | L |
| 24/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Federico Agustin Gomez Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Tabur?
Our model gives 55% to Arthur Rinderknech, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.