Tennis · ATP Bastad · 14/07, 12:00
Prediction: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Miguel Damas
Prediction summary
Winner
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Miguel Damas
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
5-5 (W-L)
Miguel Damas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1521 · Miguel Damas 1538
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-13.1 | 10.8-11 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 57% | 62.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +3.2
Over 20.5: 71% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 29% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-24 | L |
| 21/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Moise Kouame French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-25 | L |
| 17/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/05 | Jaume Munar Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/05 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Bernabe Zapata Miralles Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Jaime Faria ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Miguel Damas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Thomas Faurel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 12/07 | Nikola Slavic ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Harold Huens Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Miguel Damas?
Our model gives 65% to Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.