Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 13/07, 18:00
Prediction: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Liv Boulard
Prediction summary
Winner
Celia Cervino Ruiz
Liv Boulard
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Celia Cervino Ruiz
7-3 (W-L)
Liv Boulard
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Celia Cervino Ruiz 1561 · Liv Boulard 1500
| Celia Cervino Ruiz | Liv Boulard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celia Cervino Ruiz (rating 1561 vs 1500).
- Note: Liv Boulard makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Celia Cervino Ruiz | Liv Boulard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.2 | 10-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Celia Cervino Ruiz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Elizabeth Jurna W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Valentina Ryser W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Lorena Solar Donoso W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Ayla Aksu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Paula Ortega Redondo W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Valentina Vargas W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Ru Xi Wu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Viola Turini W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Liv Boulard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Carlota Corte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Paula Ormaechea W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Emma Bousquet W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Jenny Lim W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Hanna Bougouffa W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Nice |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Carolina Dibenedetto W15 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Liv Boulard?
Our model gives 65% to Celia Cervino Ruiz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.