Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 13/07, 15:00
Prediction: Maddalena Giordano vs Anastasiya Kuparev
Prediction summary
Winner
Maddalena Giordano
Anastasiya Kuparev
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maddalena Giordano
4-6 (W-L)
Anastasiya Kuparev
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maddalena Giordano 1454 · Anastasiya Kuparev 1498
| Maddalena Giordano | Anastasiya Kuparev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasiya Kuparev (rating 1454 vs 1498).
- Note: Anastasiya Kuparev makes many double faults (9/match).
Statistics
| Maddalena Giordano | Anastasiya Kuparev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9 | 9.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 65.6% | 26% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maddalena Giordano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Maria Torre Moral W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Georgina Hays W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Carlota Vila Salles W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Silvia Caliman W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/05 | Elena Jamshidi W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Meri Sandenbergh W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Anastasiya Kuparev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Georgina Hays W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Berrak Kocak W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Amelie Van Impe W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Carla Grignac W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Given Roach UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Iulia Andreea Ionescu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Denise Hrdinkova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Eleni Tsetsou UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/04 | Aleksandra Stevanovic UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Iulia Andreea Ionescu UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maddalena Giordano vs Anastasiya Kuparev?
Our model gives 51% to Anastasiya Kuparev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.