Tennis · Challenger Granby · 13/07, 17:10
Prediction: Karl Poling vs Kenta Miyoshi
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Poling
Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Poling
5-5 (W-L)
Kenta Miyoshi
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Karl Poling
0–1
Kenta Miyoshi
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Poling 1535 · Kenta Miyoshi 1555
| Karl Poling | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Karl Poling 0–1 Kenta Miyoshi (1).
Statistics
| Karl Poling | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12.7 | 12.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 73% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Karl Poling 0 – 1 Kenta Miyoshi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karl Poling 0–1 Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 M25 Laval | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Poling
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Laval |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Rozin M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | James Trotter M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Kenta Miyoshi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Keegan Rice M25 Laval |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Karl Poling M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Justin Boulais M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Stephane Pierre-Jo Kamendje M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nav Dayal M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Rudy Quan M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Poling vs Kenta Miyoshi?
Our model gives 60% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

