Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 13/07, 18:10
Prediction: Yibing Wu vs Pavle Marinkov
Prediction summary
Winner
Yibing Wu
Pavle Marinkov
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yibing Wu
3-7 (W-L)
Pavle Marinkov
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yibing Wu 1463 · Pavle Marinkov 1443
| Yibing Wu | Pavle Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Pavle Marinkov makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Yibing Wu | Pavle Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-13.7 | 8.3-11.7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yibing Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 20/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Thijs Boogaard ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Marcos Giron French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 01/05 | Ethan Quinn Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Pavle Marinkov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ronit Karki Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Ryan Colby M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 31/05 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Kokoro Isomura M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/04 | Li Tu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yibing Wu vs Pavle Marinkov?
Our model gives 72% to Yibing Wu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.