Tennis · Challenger Granby · 13/07, 17:10
Prediction: Edward Winter vs Strong Kirchheimer
Prediction summary
Winner
Edward Winter
Strong Kirchheimer
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Edward Winter
4-6 (W-L)
Strong Kirchheimer
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Edward Winter
1–1
Strong Kirchheimer
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edward Winter 1568 · Strong Kirchheimer 1469
| Edward Winter | Strong Kirchheimer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edward Winter (rating 1568 vs 1469).
Statistics
| Edward Winter | Strong Kirchheimer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.3 | 12.1-13.1 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 24.4% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
H2H · Edward Winter 1 – 1 Strong Kirchheimer (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Edward Winter 1–1 Strong Kirchheimer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/25 Challenger Las Vegas | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/03/25 ITF M25 Calabasas | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edward Winter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Justin Roberts Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 05/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/07 | William Manning Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Ian Mayew Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Strong Kirchheimer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Kody Pearson Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Jay Friend M25 Laval |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Miko Lapalme M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Nathan Trouve M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/04 | Braden Shick Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 12/04 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 06/04 | Christian Langmo Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edward Winter vs Strong Kirchheimer?
Our model gives 68% to Edward Winter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.