Prediction: Marco Cecchinato vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Cecchinato
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Cecchinato
7-3 (W-L)
Roman Andres Burruchaga
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Cecchinato
1–2
Roman Andres Burruchaga
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1576 · Roman Andres Burruchaga 1424
| Marco Cecchinato | Roman Andres Burruchaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Cecchinato (rating 1576 vs 1424).
- Marco Cecchinato is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Marco Cecchinato 1–2 Roman Andres Burruchaga (3).
- Note: Roman Andres Burruchaga makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Marco Cecchinato | Roman Andres Burruchaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.7-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.3 | 10.9-15.3 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.5
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.83
H2H · Marco Cecchinato 1 – 2 Roman Andres Burruchaga (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Cecchinato 1–2 Roman Andres Burruchaga
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/25 Challenger Lima 2 | 1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/10/25 Challenger Lima | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/02/24 ATP Cordoba | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Duje Ajdukovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 04/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Roman Andres Burruchaga
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 12-23 | L |
| 19/05 | Luciano Darderi ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Pierre Delage Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/05 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/05 | Marcos Giron Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Cecchinato vs Roman Andres Burruchaga?
Our model gives 52% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.