Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 13/07, 17:00
Prediction: Hiroki Moriya vs Thomas Fancutt
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Moriya
Thomas Fancutt
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Moriya
5-5 (W-L)
Thomas Fancutt
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Moriya 1479 · Thomas Fancutt 1494
| Hiroki Moriya | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hiroki Moriya | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.6 | 11-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Andreja Petrovic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Uisung Park M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 01/06 | Aidan Kim Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Timo Legout Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/06 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Volodymyr Uzhylovskyi Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Lucas Poullain M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Francisco Faria M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Moriya vs Thomas Fancutt?
Our model gives 56% to Hiroki Moriya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.