Tennis · ATP Bastad · 13/07, 13:30
Prediction: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas
Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Faurel
Miguel Damas
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Faurel
4-6 (W-L)
Miguel Damas
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thomas Faurel
0–1
Miguel Damas
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Faurel 1491 · Miguel Damas 1527
| Thomas Faurel | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Thomas Faurel 0–1 Miguel Damas (1).
Statistics
| Thomas Faurel | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.8 | 10.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 63.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +0.8
Over 21.5: 56% · 1.72
Under 21.5: 44% · 2.00
H2H · Thomas Faurel 0 – 1 Miguel Damas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thomas Faurel 0–1 Miguel Damas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 Challenger Tenerife | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Faurel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Elmer Moller ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Florent Bax Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Valentin Vacherot French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-22 | L |
| 21/05 | Dalibor Svrcina French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Jay Clarke French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Miguel Damas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Nikola Slavic ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Harold Huens Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas?
Our model gives 51% to Thomas Faurel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.