Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 12/07, 23:00
Prediction: Ajeet Rai vs Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Ajeet Rai
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ajeet Rai
6-4 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ajeet Rai 1507 · Evan Zhu 1514
| Ajeet Rai | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ajeet Rai | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.3 | 10.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 28.4% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ajeet Rai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/04 | Tomas Lanik M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/04 | Petr Kapuskin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/03 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Launceston |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 27/02 | Omar Jasika M25 Burnie |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/02 | Thomas Fancutt M25 Burnie |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/02 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Burnie |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/12 | Jake Dembo ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Landon Ardila M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Kennedy M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ajeet Rai vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 52% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.