Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 13/07, 14:00
Prediction: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov
Prediction summary
Winner
Raphael Collignon
Timofey Skatov
Estimated games
26
Recent form · 10 last
Raphael Collignon
5-5 (W-L)
Timofey Skatov
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Raphael Collignon
0–1
Timofey Skatov
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raphael Collignon 1506 · Timofey Skatov 1520
| Raphael Collignon | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Raphael Collignon dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 43% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Raphael Collignon 0–1 Timofey Skatov (1).
- Note: Raphael Collignon makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Raphael Collignon | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.5-13.6 | 11.4-11 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 79.3% | 69% |
| Break % | 43% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26
H2H · Raphael Collignon 0 – 1 Timofey Skatov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raphael Collignon 0–1 Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Challenger Bonn | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raphael Collignon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Arthur Fils Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 22/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Roberto Bautista-Agut ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Matteo Arnaldi French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 28-30 | L |
| 28/05 | Ben Shelton French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Aleksandar Vukic French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Anirudh Chandrasekar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Elias Ymer Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Alex Barrena Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | James Watt Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 09/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov?
Our model gives 65% to Raphael Collignon, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.