Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 14/07, 10:00

Prediction: Federico Cina vs Quentin Halys

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Federico Cina Quentin Halys
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Cina 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLLLWW
Quentin Halys 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federico Cina 1550 · Quentin Halys 1487
Federico CinaQuentin Halys
Our model59%41%
Market43%57%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Cina (rating 1550 vs 1487).

Statistics

Federico CinaQuentin Halys
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.2-1.5
Games (G-P)12.3-9.812.8-14
Aces38.1
Double faults2.83.4
1st serve %67.9%72.4%
Break %58.3%39.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.6 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 51% · 1.83 Under 23.5: 49% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federico Cina

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Calvin Hemery
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Patrick Zahraj
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
06/07 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
29/06 Andres Santamarta Roig
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Hugo Gaston
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
22/06 Gianluca Cadenasso
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Taro Daniel
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
1-2 14-13 L
12/06 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
10/06 Jan Choinski
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
08/06 Marko Topo
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Quentin Halys

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Marcos Giron
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 13-19 L
30/06 Matteo Arnaldi
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 22-16 W
25/06 Ugo Humbert
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Giles Hussey
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
2-0 13-6 W
20/06 Toby Samuel
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
29/05 Alexander Zverev
French Open · Clay
1-3 16-23 L
27/05 Ugo Humbert
French Open · Clay
3-0 20-16 W
24/05 Mattia Bellucci
French Open · Clay
3-0 19-12 W
16/05 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Challenger Bordeaux · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federico Cina vs Quentin Halys?

Our model gives 50% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.