Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Dylan Dietrich
Prediction summary
Winner
Jerome Kym
Dylan Dietrich
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jerome Kym
5-5 (W-L)
Dylan Dietrich
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jerome Kym
1–0
Dylan Dietrich
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1525 · Dylan Dietrich 1575
| Jerome Kym | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dylan Dietrich (rating 1525 vs 1575).
- Jerome Kym dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jerome Kym 1–0 Dylan Dietrich (1).
- Note: Jerome Kym makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Jerome Kym | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-13.2 | 11.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.1
Over 23.5: 58% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 42% · 1.83
H2H · Jerome Kym 1 – 0 Dylan Dietrich (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jerome Kym 1–0 Dylan Dietrich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/23 M25 Klosters | 2-1 | 15-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerome Kym
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 28-27 | L |
| 24/06 | August Holmgren Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 26/05 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Dylan Dietrich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Thiago Monteiro ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Otto Virtanen ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Fadi Bidan M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Robert Strombachs M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Dylan Dietrich?
Our model gives 52% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.