Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Mitchell Krueger vs Alex Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitchell Krueger
Alex Martinez
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mitchell Krueger
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Martinez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitchell Krueger 1459 · Alex Martinez 1532
| Mitchell Krueger | Alex Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Martinez (rating 1459 vs 1532).
- Alex Martinez is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mitchell Krueger | Alex Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.7 | 10-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitchell Krueger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Dallas |
1-1 | 7-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Mitric M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 10/05 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/04 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Alex Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/04 | Daniel Cukierman Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Niklas Waldner Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitchell Krueger vs Alex Martinez?
Our model gives 50% to Mitchell Krueger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.