Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajda
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Lajal
Trevor Svajda
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal
4-6 (W-L)
Trevor Svajda
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1490 · Trevor Svajda 1542
| Mark Lajal | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trevor Svajda (rating 1490 vs 1542).
Statistics
| Mark Lajal | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.4 | 11.9-11.3 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 27.7% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Luka Pavlovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Michael Zheng Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Paul Jubb Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 07/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Leandro Riedi Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Trevor Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Jie Cui Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/03 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Luca Nardi ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajda?
Our model gives 54% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.