Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Spencer Johnson vs Remy Bertola
Prediction summary
Winner
Spencer Johnson
Remy Bertola
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Spencer Johnson
10-0 (W-L)
Remy Bertola
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spencer Johnson 1670 · Remy Bertola 1536
| Spencer Johnson | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spencer Johnson (rating 1670 vs 1536).
- Spencer Johnson dominates on serve: 8.7 aces and 47.5% break avg.
- Spencer Johnson is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Remy Bertola makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Spencer Johnson | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-8.3 | 13.7-13.4 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 26.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spencer Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Stian Klaassen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Ronald Hohmann M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Nile Ung M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Aidan Kim M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Ronit Karki M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Remy Bertola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
| 24/06 | Jurij Rodionov Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Liam Draxl Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Yibing Wu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Luca Nardi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 14/06 | James McCabe Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spencer Johnson vs Remy Bertola?
Our model gives 53% to Spencer Johnson, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.