Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe
Prediction summary
Winner
Masamichi Imamura
James McCabe
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Masamichi Imamura
4-6 (W-L)
James McCabe
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Masamichi Imamura
0–2
James McCabe
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Masamichi Imamura 1543 · James McCabe 1495
| Masamichi Imamura | James McCabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Masamichi Imamura (rating 1543 vs 1495).
- Head-to-head: Masamichi Imamura 0–2 James McCabe (2).
Statistics
| Masamichi Imamura | James McCabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.7 | 11.2-12 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 33.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Masamichi Imamura 0 – 2 James McCabe (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Masamichi Imamura 0–2 James McCabe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/25 Challenger Taipei | 1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 11/08/24 ITF M25 Roehampton | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Masamichi Imamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
James McCabe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Rhys Lawlor Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Sander Jong ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Coleman Wong ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Kamil Majchrzak Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Martin Damm Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe?
Our model gives 54% to James McCabe, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.