Tennis · Challenger Granby · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Fajing Sun vs Arthur Gea
Prediction summary
Winner
Fajing Sun
Arthur Gea
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Fajing Sun
2-8 (W-L)
Arthur Gea
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fajing Sun 1421 · Arthur Gea 1525
| Fajing Sun | Arthur Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Gea (rating 1421 vs 1525).
- Arthur Gea dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 45.8% break avg.
- Arthur Gea is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Arthur Gea makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Fajing Sun | Arthur Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (1) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12.7 | 13.5-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Dakotah Bobo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/05 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 05/05 | Alex Bolt Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/05 | Coleman Wong Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Arthur Gea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Raul Brancaccio Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fajing Sun vs Arthur Gea?
Our model gives 72% to Arthur Gea, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.