Tennis · Challenger Granby · 14/07, 16:00

Prediction: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Daniel Milavsky Duncan Chan
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Milavsky 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWLWWL
Duncan Chan 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daniel Milavsky 1495 · Duncan Chan 1518
Daniel MilavskyDuncan Chan
Our model47%53%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Daniel MilavskyDuncan Chan
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11.5-10.811.9-11.2
Aces4.93.8
Double faults3.32.4
1st serve %72%70.1%
Break %55.6%43.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daniel Milavsky

WWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Alexis Galarneau
Challenger Newport · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
09/07 Bu Yunchaokete
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Kaichi Uchida
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-1 13-12 W
05/07 Masamichi Imamura
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-1 18-12 W
28/06 Ozan Baris
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
10/06 Lucas Marionneau
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
1-2 16-16 L
03/06 Murphy Cassone
Challenger Tyler · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Christian Langmo
Challenger Tyler · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
01/06 William Manning
Challenger Tyler · Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Duncan Chan

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Timo Legout
M25 Laval
0-2 9-13 L
08/07 Nicola Ion
M25 Laval
2-1 11-10 W
18/06 Braden Shick
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
16/06 Ryan Colby
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
12/06 Ozan Baris
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
11/06 Pavle Marinkov
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
10/06 Jie Cui
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
16/11 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Drummondville · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
15/11 Charles Broom
Challenger Drummondville · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
14/11 Gabi Adrian Boitan
Challenger Drummondville · Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan?

Our model gives 55% to Daniel Milavsky, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.