Tennis · Challenger Granby · 14/07, 16:00

Prediction: Daniil Glinka vs Garrett Johns

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Daniil Glinka Garrett Johns
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Glinka 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWWL
Garrett Johns 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daniil Glinka 1489 · Garrett Johns 1477
Daniil GlinkaGarrett Johns
Our model52%48%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Daniil GlinkaGarrett Johns
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51-1.3
Games (G-P)11.2-13.110.2-11.3
Aces11.82.4
Double faults3.51.6
1st serve %70.7%63.8%
Break %22.7%30.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daniil Glinka

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Bu Yunchaokete
Challenger Newport · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
02/07 Edward Winter
Challenger Cary · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
30/06 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Cary · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
22/06 Kimmer Coppejans
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
16/06 Oliver Crawford
Challenger Dublin · Grass
1-2 14-18 L
06/06 Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
28/05 Liam Broady
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
26/05 Stefan Latinov
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
20/05 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
French Open · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/05 Robin Bertrand
French Open · Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Garrett Johns

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Darwin Blanch
Challenger Newport · Grass
1-2 13-17 L
09/07 Patrick Maloney
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-1 15-13 W
07/07 Stefan Kozlov
Challenger Newport · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
05/07 Blake Ellis
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
01/06 Olaf Pieczkowski
Challenger Tyler · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
11/05 Eero Vasa
Challenger Oeiras · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/05 Francisco Rocha
Challenger Oeiras · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
04/05 Frederico Ferreira Silva
Challenger Francavilla · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
03/05 Michalis Sakellaridis
Challenger Francavilla · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
29/04 Marco Cecchinato
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daniil Glinka vs Garrett Johns?

Our model gives 58% to Daniil Glinka, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.