Tennis · Challenger Granby · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Justin Boulais vs Zhizhen Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Boulais
Zhizhen Zhang
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Boulais
5-5 (W-L)
Zhizhen Zhang
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Boulais 1499 · Zhizhen Zhang 1551
| Justin Boulais | Zhizhen Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhizhen Zhang (rating 1499 vs 1551).
- Zhizhen Zhang is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Justin Boulais | Zhizhen Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-13.1 | 13.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 11.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 79.7% |
| Break % | 38% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/05 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Zhizhen Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Jaime Faria Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mark Ceban Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Boulais vs Zhizhen Zhang?
Our model gives 67% to Zhizhen Zhang, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.