Tennis · Challenger Granby · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Kaichi Uchida vs Alexis Galarneau
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaichi Uchida
Alexis Galarneau
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kaichi Uchida
0-10 (W-L)
Alexis Galarneau
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kaichi Uchida
1–2
Alexis Galarneau
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaichi Uchida 1357 · Alexis Galarneau 1549
| Kaichi Uchida | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 75% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexis Galarneau (rating 1357 vs 1549).
- Alexis Galarneau is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kaichi Uchida 1–2 Alexis Galarneau (3).
- Note: Alexis Galarneau makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Kaichi Uchida | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0-2 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.5-12.2 | 13-12.8 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 29.1% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Kaichi Uchida 1 – 2 Alexis Galarneau (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaichi Uchida 1–2 Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Challenger Busan | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/11/21 Challenger Puerto Vallarta | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07/21 Challenger Lexington | 1-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaichi Uchida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Max Houkes Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | James McCabe Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Busan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/04 | Justin Boulais Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaichi Uchida vs Alexis Galarneau?
Our model gives 77% to Alexis Galarneau, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.