Tennis · Challenger Granby · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Arseneault
Andres Martin
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Arseneault
5-5 (W-L)
Andres Martin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Arseneault 1446 · Andres Martin 1505
| Nicolas Arseneault | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andres Martin (rating 1446 vs 1505).
Statistics
| Nicolas Arseneault | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.5 | 12.4-12.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Liam Draxl M25 Laval |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jonah Braswell M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Oliver Bonding M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/05 | Henry Searle Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/01 | Luca Pow M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 06/01 | Alex Rybakov M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/11 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Luca Pow M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Matisse Farzam M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Blake Ellis Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/05 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/05 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin?
Our model gives 66% to Andres Martin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.