Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 12/07, 23:00
Prediction: Gavin Young vs Yassine Dlimi
Prediction summary
Winner
Gavin Young
Yassine Dlimi
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gavin Young
6-4 (W-L)
Yassine Dlimi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gavin Young 1553 · Yassine Dlimi 1600
| Gavin Young | Yassine Dlimi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yassine Dlimi (rating 1553 vs 1600).
- Gavin Young dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 40.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Gavin Young | Yassine Dlimi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-12.2 | 14-10.6 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gavin Young
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Mitchell Krueger M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/07 | William Manning M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Luca Pow M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Dhakshineswar Suresh M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Yassine Dlimi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Karim Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Florian Broska M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Miguel Angel Machado M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea M'chich M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/06 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gavin Young vs Yassine Dlimi?
Our model gives 52% to Gavin Young, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.