Prediction: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti
Prediction summary
Winner
Kyrian Jacquet
Marco Trungelliti
Estimated games
26.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kyrian Jacquet
8-2 (W-L)
Marco Trungelliti
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kyrian Jacquet
0–1
Marco Trungelliti
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyrian Jacquet 1541 · Marco Trungelliti 1497
| Kyrian Jacquet | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kyrian Jacquet (rating 1541 vs 1497).
- Head-to-head: Kyrian Jacquet 0–1 Marco Trungelliti (1).
- Note: Marco Trungelliti makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Kyrian Jacquet | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13.2 | 14.7-15.1 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.8
Over 22.5: 74% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 26% · 1.83
H2H · Kyrian Jacquet 0 – 1 Marco Trungelliti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kyrian Jacquet 0–1 Marco Trungelliti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 French Open | 0-3 | 8-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyrian Jacquet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Toby Samuel Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 24/05 | Marco Trungelliti French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
Marco Trungelliti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Martin Damm Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 22/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Felix Gill ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Karen Khachanov French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti?
Our model gives 54% to Kyrian Jacquet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.