Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Valentin Royer
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Valentin Royer
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
7-3 (W-L)
Valentin Royer
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1548 · Valentin Royer 1540
| Alex Molcan | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.5-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-10.9 | 13.5-12.8 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.8
Over 22.5: 62% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 38% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Altmaier Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Murphy Cassone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Ziga Sesko ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Taro Daniel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Harry Wendelken Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Novak Djokovic French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 24/05 | Hugo Dellien French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Valentin Royer?
Our model gives 54% to Alex Molcan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.