Prediction: Damir Dzumhur vs Henrique Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Damir Dzumhur
Henrique Rocha
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Damir Dzumhur
6-4 (W-L)
Henrique Rocha
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Damir Dzumhur 1475 · Henrique Rocha 1545
| Damir Dzumhur | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henrique Rocha (rating 1475 vs 1545).
- Henrique Rocha dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 52.7% break avg.
- Note: Henrique Rocha makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Damir Dzumhur | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-13.1 | 12.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 71% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.6
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
| 23/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Mikhail Kukushkin ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/05 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 24-27 | L |
Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Borna Gojo French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Damir Dzumhur vs Henrique Rocha?
Our model gives 56% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.