Prediction: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche
Prediction summary
Winner
Dusan Lajovic
Luca Van Assche
Estimated games
24.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dusan Lajovic
6-4 (W-L)
Luca Van Assche
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dusan Lajovic
1–1
Luca Van Assche
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dusan Lajovic 1468 · Luca Van Assche 1579
| Dusan Lajovic | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Van Assche (rating 1468 vs 1579).
- Luca Van Assche is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Dusan Lajovic | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.8-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13.5 | 14.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 32% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.9
Over 22.5: 63% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 37% · 1.90
H2H · Dusan Lajovic 1 – 1 Luca Van Assche (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dusan Lajovic 1–1 Luca Van Assche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/25 US Open | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10/22 Challenger Parma | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dusan Lajovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
| 24/06 | Chris Rodesch Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Lukas Neumayer Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Jurij Rodionov French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Alejandro Tabilo Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Luca Van Assche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Brandon Nakashima French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 22-29 | L |
| 25/05 | Vilius Gaubas French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 16/05 | Max Schoenhaus ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche?
Our model gives 58% to Luca Van Assche, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.