Prediction: Ziga Sesko vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Prediction summary
Winner
Ziga Sesko
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ziga Sesko
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Merida Aguilar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ziga Sesko 1500 · Daniel Merida Aguilar 1479
| Ziga Sesko | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ziga Sesko | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.8 | 12.2-13.3 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3.6
Over 18.5: 73% · 1.80
Under 18.5: 27% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ziga Sesko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Alex Molcan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Jan Kupcic M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Maik Steiner M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Max Alcala Gurri M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/03 | Miles Jones M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Daniil Medvedev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 16-22 | L |
| 13/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Ben Shelton French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Tomas Barrios Vera ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ziga Sesko vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Our model gives 67% to Daniel Merida Aguilar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.