Tennis · Challenger Granby · 12/07, 19:00
Prediction: Karl Poling vs Matt Kuhar
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Poling
Matt Kuhar
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Poling
6-4 (W-L)
Matt Kuhar
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Karl Poling
1–0
Matt Kuhar
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Poling 1518 · Matt Kuhar 1384
| Karl Poling | Matt Kuhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karl Poling (rating 1518 vs 1384).
- Karl Poling is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Karl Poling 1–0 Matt Kuhar (1).
- Note: Matt Kuhar makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Karl Poling | Matt Kuhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.5-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.3 | 8.6-13.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 25.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Karl Poling 1 – 0 Matt Kuhar (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karl Poling 1–0 Matt Kuhar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/24 Challenger Manzanillo | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Laval |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Rozin M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | James Trotter M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Matt Kuhar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Karl Kazuma Lee M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Noah Johnston M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Elijah Sanogo Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/04 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Matteo Fondriest Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 24/03 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/03 | Iiro Vasa M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Poling vs Matt Kuhar?
Our model gives 73% to Karl Poling, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.