Tennis · Challenger Granby · 12/07, 19:30
Prediction: Renta Tokuda vs Alexander Rozin
Prediction summary
Winner
Renta Tokuda
Alexander Rozin
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Renta Tokuda
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Rozin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renta Tokuda 1484 · Alexander Rozin 1553
| Renta Tokuda | Alexander Rozin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Rozin (rating 1484 vs 1553).
Statistics
| Renta Tokuda | Alexander Rozin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.9 | 11.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 39% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renta Tokuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 18/06 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/05 | Mark Lajal Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/04 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/04 | Woobin Shin Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/04 | Coleman Wong Challenger Busan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/04 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Busan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alexander Rozin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Karl Poling M25 Laval |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Matic Kriznik M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renta Tokuda vs Alexander Rozin?
Our model gives 50% to Renta Tokuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.