Tennis · Challenger Granby · 12/07, 16:00
Prediction: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Leo Vithoontien
Prediction summary
Winner
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Leo Vithoontien
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Bouchelaghem
8-2 (W-L)
Leo Vithoontien
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1559 · Leo Vithoontien 1455
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Leo Vithoontien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesar Bouchelaghem (rating 1559 vs 1455).
- Cesar Bouchelaghem is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Cesar Bouchelaghem makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Leo Vithoontien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.7 | 8.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 34.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 04/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Paul Inchauspe M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Leo Vithoontien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Jesse Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/05 | Daniel Masur Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Arseniy Trebukhin Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Leo Vithoontien?
Our model gives 69% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.