Tennis · Challenger Granby · 12/07, 20:30
Prediction: Kody Pearson vs Strong Kirchheimer
Prediction summary
Winner
Kody Pearson
Strong Kirchheimer
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kody Pearson
3-7 (W-L)
Strong Kirchheimer
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kody Pearson 1495 · Strong Kirchheimer 1463
| Kody Pearson | Strong Kirchheimer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kody Pearson makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kody Pearson | Strong Kirchheimer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.2 | 12.5-13.6 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 26.8% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kody Pearson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/04 | Li Tu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/04 | Yi Zhou Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/04 | Zhao Zhao Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 06/04 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/04 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/02 | Naoki Nakagawa Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/11 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Playford · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Strong Kirchheimer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Jay Friend M25 Laval |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Miko Lapalme M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Nathan Trouve M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/04 | Braden Shick Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 12/04 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 06/04 | Christian Langmo Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 05/04 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kody Pearson vs Strong Kirchheimer?
Our model gives 57% to Strong Kirchheimer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.