Tennis · Challenger Granby · 12/07, 18:20
Prediction: Benjamin Thomas George vs Alan Magadan
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Thomas George
Alan Magadan
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Thomas George
4-6 (W-L)
Alan Magadan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Thomas George 1451 · Alan Magadan 1532
| Benjamin Thomas George | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alan Magadan (rating 1451 vs 1532).
- Alan Magadan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Benjamin Thomas George makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Thomas George | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-11.2 | 13.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 76% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Thomas George
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Matthew Thomson M25 Laval |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Dmitrii Shirokii M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Keaton Hance M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Christopher Li M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Hyeon Chung M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Azuma Visaya UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Thomas George vs Alan Magadan?
Our model gives 69% to Alan Magadan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.