Tennis · Challenger Granby · 12/07, 17:30
Prediction: James Trotter vs Jared Horwood
Prediction summary
Winner
James Trotter
Jared Horwood
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
James Trotter
5-5 (W-L)
Jared Horwood
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Trotter 1462 · Jared Horwood 1517
| James Trotter | Jared Horwood | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jared Horwood (rating 1462 vs 1517).
- Jared Horwood is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: James Trotter makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| James Trotter | Jared Horwood | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.8 | 10.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Trotter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Ronit Karki Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Karl Poling M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Adam Walton Challenger Busan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/04 | Jake Delaney Challenger Busan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/04 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Busan · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/04 | Suk Ann Challenger Busan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/04 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Jared Horwood
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Laval |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Jack Davison M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 23/04 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/04 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/04 | Shohei Chikami UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Kanari Izumisawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/04 | Ilias Bouzoubaa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/04 | Gray Kelley UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Trotter vs Jared Horwood?
Our model gives 69% to James Trotter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.