Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 12/07, 19:00
Prediction: Christian Langmo vs Alex Kobelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Christian Langmo
Alex Kobelt
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Christian Langmo
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Kobelt
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Christian Langmo
1–0
Alex Kobelt
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Christian Langmo 1479 · Alex Kobelt 1392
| Christian Langmo | Alex Kobelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christian Langmo (rating 1479 vs 1392).
- Christian Langmo dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 47.4% break avg.
- Christian Langmo is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Christian Langmo 1–0 Alex Kobelt (1).
- Note: Alex Kobelt makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Christian Langmo | Alex Kobelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.3 | 8.2-12.8 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 7.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Christian Langmo 1 – 0 Alex Kobelt (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Christian Langmo 1–0 Alex Kobelt
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/24 Challenger Lincoln | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Christian Langmo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Samir Banerjee Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Pavle Marinkov M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Ryan Colby Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Johannus Monday Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/05 | Jerry Roddick Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/05 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Alex Kobelt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Blake Ellis M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 09/06 | Mikael Arseneault M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Reda Bennani Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Keenan Mayo M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Branko Djuric M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Adam Jones M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/02 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Metepec · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/01 | Gage Brymer M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Christian Langmo vs Alex Kobelt?
Our model gives 77% to Christian Langmo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.