Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 12/07, 18:10
Prediction: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Keshav Chopra
Prediction summary
Winner
Quinn Vandecasteele
Keshav Chopra
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Quinn Vandecasteele
4-6 (W-L)
Keshav Chopra
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quinn Vandecasteele 1484 · Keshav Chopra 1557
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Keshav Chopra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keshav Chopra (rating 1484 vs 1557).
- Quinn Vandecasteele dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 41.5% break avg.
- Keshav Chopra is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Keshav Chopra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.8 | 10.6-9 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quinn Vandecasteele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 07/07 | James Trotter Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Aidan Kim Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Keshav Chopra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 26/06 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Loan Lestir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Rafael Giotis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Daniel Phillips M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Loan Lestir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quinn Vandecasteele vs Keshav Chopra?
Our model gives 59% to Quinn Vandecasteele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.