Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 12/07, 18:00
Prediction: Alafia Ayeni vs Matthew Forbes
Prediction summary
Winner
Alafia Ayeni
Matthew Forbes
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alafia Ayeni
5-5 (W-L)
Matthew Forbes
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alafia Ayeni 1488 · Matthew Forbes 1488
| Alafia Ayeni | Matthew Forbes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matthew Forbes dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Note: Alafia Ayeni makes many double faults (6.8/match).
- Note: Matthew Forbes makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Alafia Ayeni | Matthew Forbes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.9 | 11.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alafia Ayeni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Ethan Cook Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/05 | Reda Bennani Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/05 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Matthew Forbes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Jie Cui M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/02 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/01 | William Grant M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/01 | Dhakshineswar Suresh M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/11 | Aidan Mchugh ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 06/11 | Sasha Colleu ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Vuk Radjenovic ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/10 | Raphael Perot ITF M25 Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alafia Ayeni vs Matthew Forbes?
Our model gives 50% to Alafia Ayeni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.