Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 12/07, 19:20
Prediction: Ronit Karki vs Pavle Marinkov
Prediction summary
Winner
Ronit Karki
Pavle Marinkov
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ronit Karki
5-5 (W-L)
Pavle Marinkov
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ronit Karki 1492 · Pavle Marinkov 1437
| Ronit Karki | Pavle Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ronit Karki (rating 1492 vs 1437).
- Note: Pavle Marinkov makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Ronit Karki | Pavle Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.5 | 8.9-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ronit Karki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | James Trotter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Felipe Vazquez M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/05 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Aryan Lakshmanan Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Manish Sureshkumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Parth Aggarwal Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/05 | Aradhya Kshitij Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Pavle Marinkov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Ryan Colby M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 31/05 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Kokoro Isomura M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/04 | Li Tu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ronit Karki vs Pavle Marinkov?
Our model gives 51% to Pavle Marinkov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.