Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 12/07, 17:00
Prediction: Thomas Fancutt vs Kaylan Bigun
Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Fancutt
Kaylan Bigun
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Fancutt
6-4 (W-L)
Kaylan Bigun
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Fancutt 1490 · Kaylan Bigun 1591
| Thomas Fancutt | Kaylan Bigun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaylan Bigun (rating 1490 vs 1591).
- Kaylan Bigun is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thomas Fancutt | Kaylan Bigun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.8 | 12.7-8.8 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/06 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Volodymyr Uzhylovskyi Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Lucas Poullain M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Francisco Faria M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Kaylan Bigun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Gus Grumet M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Jerry Roddick M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Noah Johnston M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/05 | Amit Vales M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Fancutt vs Kaylan Bigun?
Our model gives 63% to Kaylan Bigun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.