Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 12/07, 17:00
Prediction: Hiroki Moriya vs Andreja Petrovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Moriya
Andreja Petrovic
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Moriya
5-5 (W-L)
Andreja Petrovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Moriya 1481 · Andreja Petrovic 1541
| Hiroki Moriya | Andreja Petrovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andreja Petrovic (rating 1481 vs 1541).
Statistics
| Hiroki Moriya | Andreja Petrovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9.9 | 11.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 66% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Uisung Park M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 01/06 | Aidan Kim Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Timo Legout Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Keenan Mayo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Andreja Petrovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Dakotah Bobo M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Andrea Fiorentini M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/05 | Nick Hardt M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 02/05 | Raphael Perot M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/05 | Michael Antonius M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/04 | Andrew Johnson M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Maxime St-Hilaire M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 23/04 | Felix Corwin M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Teodor Davidov M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Moriya vs Andreja Petrovic?
Our model gives 54% to Hiroki Moriya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.