Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 12/07, 20:30
Prediction: Yibing Wu vs Patrick Maloney
Prediction summary
Winner
Yibing Wu
Patrick Maloney
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yibing Wu
3-7 (W-L)
Patrick Maloney
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yibing Wu
1–0
Patrick Maloney
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yibing Wu 1443 · Patrick Maloney 1479
| Yibing Wu | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yibing Wu 1–0 Patrick Maloney (1).
Statistics
| Yibing Wu | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 17% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13.9 | 9.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Yibing Wu 1 – 0 Patrick Maloney (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yibing Wu 1–0 Patrick Maloney
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/25 Challenger Tyler | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yibing Wu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 20/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Thijs Boogaard ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Marcos Giron French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 01/05 | Ethan Quinn Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/04 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Patrick Maloney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Las Vegas · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Luca Pow Challenger Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Chicago · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yibing Wu vs Patrick Maloney?
Our model gives 65% to Yibing Wu, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.